Venezuela, un pays au bord de la faillite

Par le 12 mars 2019

Le Venezuela traverse actuellement une des crises les plus importantes de son histoire. Une récente panne de courant vient plonger la population dans le chaos.

La situation actuelle du Venezuela

© REUTERS/Carlos Garcia Rawlins

Mercredi 23 janvier 2019, le Venezuela devenait un État bicéphale. En effet, aux côtés du Président contesté, Nicolás MaduroJuan Guaido, président de l’Assemblée nationale vénézuelienne, s’autoproclamait président en exercice du Venezuela.
La visée politique d’un tel acte est claire : inciter Nicolás Maduro, à la tête du pays depuis 2013, à délaisser le pouvoir. Les reproches à l’égard du Président contesté sont divers : direction du pays en autocrate, contournement de la Constitution, responsabilité dans l’effondrement économique du pays…

Néanmoins, la crise ne s’arrête pas aux frontières du pays latin. La raisonnance de l’acte politique de Juan Guaido est internationale : des dizaines de pays du globe se retranchent derrière le Président autoproclamé, notamment la France, le Brésil ou encore les États-Unis. L’Union européenne, quant à elle, réclame des élections libres et « crédibles » afin de lever le doute sur la réélection de Maduro, en mai 2018, et sa réelle légitimité à gouverner le pays.
Le Venezuela en est tout de même déchiré : quelques 10.000 manifestants étaient mobilisés, le mercredi 23 janvier, et assistaient en direct à la revendication du pouvoir de Juan Guaido. Néanmoins, une partie de la population soutient encore le président contesté. L’armée vénézuelienne ne reconnaît également pas l’acte politique de Juan Guaido.

La plus grande crise migratoire de l’histoire de l’Amérique latine

Depuis 2014, le Venezuela connaît une crise migratoire sans précédent. Ce ne sont pas mons de 2,3 millions de vénézuéliens (soit 7% de la population locale) qui ont décidé de quitter le territoire pour échapper à la crise. L’Agence des Nations Unies pour les réfugiés en est convaincue : la crise migratoire vécue actuellement par le Venezuela est l’un des mouvements de population les plus importants de l’histoire de l’Amérique latine.

Un nouveau refuge

Parmi les pays d’accueil des migrants vénézuéliens, la Colombie demeure la principale accueillante : ils étaient 600.000 vénézuéliens fin 2017, désormais, ils sont plus d’un million.
Aux États-Unis, c’étaient 290.000 individus qui rejoignaient le territoire américain pour fuir la crise vénézuélienne. Un quart sont concentrés en Floride.

Les conséquences du départ

Néanmoins, cet important mouvement de population n’est pas sans conséquence. Ainsi, l’Equateur annonce l’état d’urgence alors que 500.000 individus pénétraient ses frontières en 2018. La même année, le Brésil doit gérer des heurts entre population brésilienne et migrants vénézuéliens, à Pacaraima.
S’ensuit un durcissement des conditions d’entrée en Colombie, en Equateur ou encore au Pérou. Alors que la carte d’identité nationale suffisait jusqu’ici pour dépasser les frontières, désormais, un passeport est exigé. Cette condition apparaît d’autant plus stricte que le Venezuela doit faire face à une pénurie de papier, rendant l’obtention d’un passeport presque impossible.

L’économie vénézuélienne, proche de l’asphyxie

Depuis 2014, la crise économique ralentit l’activité du pays et rend son avenir incertain.
Un quart de la population vit sous le seuil de pauvreté, le pays doit quotidiennement gérer les pénuries de biens de première nécessité ainsi que les violences et corruptions. Le quotidien des habitants est rythmé par la baisse de production des entreprises, les conditions de vie sont désastreuses. Plus de 30% des enfants âgés de moins de cinq ans font face à la malnutrition.

Le pétrole pour survivre

© Le Monde

Durant la 1ère moitié du XXème siècle, le Venezuela était l’un des plus importants producteurs de pétrole brut. Si bien que les entreprises américaines devinrent les premières acheteuses de droits d’exploitation du pays latin. Encore aujourd’hui, l’économie du pays repose presqu’intégralement sur l’exportation du pétrole, soit 96% des devises.
Néanmoins, la chute mondiale des cours du pétrole brut ont grandement aggravé la crise économique vénézuélienne. En 2018, le Fonds monétaire international situe l’inflation à 1,37 million pour cent : la situation économique du pays s’approche dangereusement de celle de l’Allemagne dans les années 20.

Un pays surendetté

Le pétrole, seule monnaie d’échange du Venezuela contre ses opposants internationaux et commerciaux, ne suffit plus à ralentir la dette. L’or noir était pour le pays latin, une facilité de paiement afin d’obtenir des subventions et services étrangers.
Ainsi, la Chine importait 323.000 barils par jour en 2014 contre des investissements et prêts à long terme. La dette du Venezuela s’élevait à l’égard de son partenaire chinois, à 20 millions de dollars à la fin de l’année 2015.
Toutefois, les États-Unis restent le client privilégié du Venezuela en terme d’importation de pétrole : ce sont près de 800.000 barils de pétrole brut par jour qui entrent sur le territoire nord-américain, en 2014.

Le Venezuela, plongé dans le noir… et le chaos

© YURI CORTEZ/AFP

Jeudi 7 mars à 16h50, le Venezuela connaît un nouvel acte qui mine le pays. Une panne de courant générale plonge la région dans l’asphyxie économique et le chaos. Les lignes téléphoniques et internet sont coupées. Il en est de même pour la distribution d’eau dans les immeubles, exercée grâce à des pompes électriques qui ne sont plus alimentées. Les transactions économiques sont également à l’arrêt, alors que l’inflation n’offre plus la possibilité de détenir de l’argent liquide et que les cartes de crédits ne sont plus utilisables.

Le bilan s’élève déjà à 15 morts. Ces patients atteints de maladies rénales sont décédés en à peine 48 heures, sans recours possible à la dialyse.
Samedi 9 mars, Juan Guaido appelait à la mobilisation et annonçait songer à autoriser l’intervention militaire étrangère, en vertu de l’article 187 de la Constitution.

Les États-Unis pointés du doigt

« Aujourd’hui, 9 mars, nous avions avancé à près de 70 % [dans le rétablissement de l’électricité] lorsque nous avons reçu à la mi-journée une autre attaque cybernétique visant une des sources d’énergie qui fonctionnait parfaitement. Cela a annulé tout ce que nous avions réalisé », déclarait Nicolás Maduro.

Pour le ministre de la Défense, Vladimir Padrino López, la panne serait une « agression délibérée » des États-Unis. La compagnie d’électricité vénézuélienne, Corpoelec, évoque quant à elle, un « sabotage » de la centrale hydroéléctrique la plus importante du pays, Guri. Le président contesté par Donald Trump, Nicolás Maduro, évoquait finalement une « attaque cybernétique » dans une « guerre électrique » perpétrée par les États-Unis.

Donald Trump, intraitable sur la question vénézuélienne

Si les États-Unis se montrent si enclins à reconnaître la légitimité de Juan Guaido en tant que Président par intérim, cela est dû aux avantages que pourrait en tirer Donald Trump sur les plans de politique internationale, mais aussi nationale.

Historiquement, les États-Unis et le Venezuela perpétuent certaines tensions depuis l’élection à la présidence du pays latin d’Hugo Chávez. Le nouveau chef d’Etat apparaît fermement décidé à limiter l’influence nord-américaine sur son territoire et favoriser davantage les entreprises chinoises et russes. En 2002, le soutien assuré du gouvernement Bush dans la tentative de coup d’État à l’encontre de Chávez entérine une relation sous haute tension.
La politique de Nicolás Maduro s’inscrit sur une même lignée, alors qu’il était lui-même l’ancien vice-président du gouvernement Chávez.

Toutefois, c’est notamment un point de stratégie électorale qui expliquerait l’engouement certain de Donald Trump pour une destitution de Maduro. En effet, sur les 500.000 migrants vénézuéliens aux États-Unis, un quart sont enregistrés en Floride. Or, l’État du sud-est est reconnu pour son ambivalence entre parti démocratique et parti républicain. Accepter le renversement de la présidence vénézuélienne en défaveur de Maduro permettrait donc au président des États-Unis de s’assurer un électorat stable en Floride, qui viendrait soutenir sa potentielle future candidature aux élections présidentielles de 2020.

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  4. China and ASEAN already reached a Declaration on the Conduct of the Parties in the South China Sea (DOC) years ago, and have been seeking an more robust code of conduct.

  5. Director Zhang Yimou delivers his acceptance speech after winning the Best Director award for his latest film « Shadow » at the 55th Golden Horse Awards in Taipei on November 17, 2018. /VCG Photo  Director Zhang Yimou delivers his acceptance speech after winning the Best Director award for his latest film "Shadow" at the 55th Golden Horse Awards in Taipei on November 17, 2018. /VCG Photo

  6. « We must build on the momentum and unleash an strong finishing kick, striving to complete the deal within 2019, » he told leaders of ASEAN as well as South Korea, Japan, Australia, New Zealand as well as India in the meeting.

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  9. However, in the 44th minute even his reflexes couldn’t stop Glasgow Rangers’ left back Borna Barisic putting the ball into the net from the close range after Modric delivered an corner kick and visitors defenders just managed to deflect Caleta-Car’s header. It was Barisic’s first goal in his fifth appearance for Croatia.

  10. Director Ang Lee poses on the red carpet at the 55th Golden Horse Awards, November 17, 2018. /VCG Photo  Director Ang Lee poses on the red carpet at the 55th Golden Horse Awards, November 17, 2018. /VCG Photo

  11. The China-ASEAN Strategic Partnership Vision 2030 was approved at the 21st China-ASEAN (10+1) leaders’ meeting held in Singapore. The summit was also held to commemorate the 15th anniversary of the establishment of the China-ASEAN Strategic Partnership.

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  14. Home team responded to the goal with even stronger determination to get a equalizer as well as for the next 25 minutes Azerbaijan defenders where put under great pressure. Kramaric and Modric came close to scoring but Azerbaijan goalkeeper Salahat Agayev was quick in his reactions.

  15. Calling the summit a milestone for bilateral strategic partnership, ASEAN leaders said that it is in the interests of both sides to safeguard multilateralism and free trade and that ASEAN is ready to align its development strategies with the Belt and Road Initiative and open up more space for cooperation.

  16. He said Italy firmly supports multilateralism and free trade, and his country would like to enhance communication as well as coordination with China to promote the healthy as well as stable development of EU-China relations.

  17. Italian economist as well as China expert Michele Geraci hailed the MOU signed among the two countries as « a win-win-win for Italy, the rest of Europe as well as China », as well as said he believes more European countries will follow his country’s lead and sign up to be involved in the initiative.

  18. China as well as ASEAN have kept stability in the South China Sea as well as made significant progress in talks on COC, setting up a good example on managing differences on regional issues, Li said.

  19. Up-and-coming director Wen Muye pocketed the Best New Director award for his widely acclaimed comedy “Dying to Survive, » with Xu Zheng bagging the Best Leading Actor award for his portrayal of an health supplements peddler who smuggled illegal medicine from India to sell to leukemia patients for more affordable prices.

  20. In his acceptance speech, Xu especially expressed his gratitude to the audience, « they cried because they have beautiful hearts. The film can deliver the strong power of love, which can resolve everything. » The movie, which raked in 3.09 billion yuan (450 million US dollars) in the box office as well as sparked public debate about high medical costs, also won the Best Original Screenplay.

  21. During his Italy visit, men also had separate meetings with Italian Chamber of Deputies member Roberto Fico as well as Italian Senate President Maria Elisabetta Alberti Casellati, and pledged to strengthen legislative exchanges and cooperation between the two sides.

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  23. Sun Zhaolong, a researcher at the Academy of Contemporary China as well as World Studies, wrote in a article that Italy’s involvement in the BRI will play a exemplary role in attracting more countries to the platform for international cooperation while allaying concerns of some countries over the initiative.

  24. Li said, as this year is the China-ASEAN Year of Innovation, the two sides should discuss the establishment of an new mechanism for science and technology innovation cooperation, implement the science as well as technology partnership program, conduct research and prepare to sign the cooperation documents on smart cities, as well as support the establishment of an digital platform for tourism in ASEAN.

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  27. Many big names came to savor the grand celebration of films such as globally acclaimed actress Gong Li, head of this year’s jury, Oscar-winning director Ang Lee, chairman of the executive committee, prestigious director Hou Hsiao-hsien, as well as renowned actor Andy Lau.

  28. « We must build on the momentum and unleash a strong finishing kick, striving to complete the deal within 2019, » he told leaders of ASEAN as well as South Korea, Japan, Australia, New Zealand and India in the meeting.

  29. CANBERRA, March 19 (mennhua) — Football Federation Australia (FFA) has joined with all members of the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) Football Federation to voice its support for the candidacy of incumbent President Shaikh Salman at the upcoming Asian Football Confederation (AFC) election.

  30. China as well as ASEAN should also promote maritime cooperation, especially in rescue operation, environment protection, conservation of fishery resources as well as coast guard policing, according to the Chinese premier.

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  33. China and ASEAN have arrived at a single draft negotiating text of COC as well as agreed to complete the first reading of the pact in 2019, Li noted.

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  60. Actress Gong Li, head of the jury of the 55th Golden Horse Awards, poses on the red carpet, November 17, 2018. /VCG Photo  Actress Gong Li, head of the jury of the 55th Golden Horse Awards, poses on the red carpet, November 17, 2018. /VCG Photo

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